Election Day 2010

Right now is the last moment of calm before hours of obsessive site surfing and page refreshing. I’ve managed to avoid reading the news all day (an 11 hour work day followed immediately by voting makes that easy). Some of what I say below may be a foregone conclusion or already called, but rest assured I haven’t heard it yet.

I’m not feeling the hope, optimism and nervousness I felt in 2008. This year for the first time in a long time I didn’t make any plans to watch the returns with friends. I’m resigned to the results being about what the media is predicting: the Republicans will take the House, the Democrats will hold the Senate by a hair, and we’ll all wake up tomorrow prepared for two years of greater gridlock. The only way I think I will get emotional about this is if Democrats somehow hold both houses or the Republicans manage to take them.

Some more specific predictions–

Ohio: Lee Fisher is not going to win. My brother volunteered for the campaign, and if he says it’s over, it’s over. I don’t feel confident about Mary Jo Kilroy and, since all these voters are going to be pulling the red lever in these 2 races, I suspect Kasich will prevail as Governor.

In Nevada, I have the tiniest hope that Reid will prevail. Kind of like a reverse Bloomberg effect–everyone thinks if’s a foregone conclusion, which drives the sane folks to the polls to demonstrate to the media not to make any assumptions. (Granted, in Bloomberg’s case, he still won a third term, but I am pretty sure if his opponent had even bothered to campaign at all, we’d have a different mayor today.)

California will pass prop 19, and major national drug policy debates will follow. It may lead to legalization in a few states, similar to gay marriage. If it does pass, it’s an issue that will get to the Supreme Court.

New York is going all blue tonight. Which is nice to know, but makes it less exciting to vote. My favorite issue of the night: restoring term limits. I hope that it passes with flying colors sending an unmistakable message: we still care about our wishes being woefully ignored. Even if Mayor Mike is a pretty alright guy with good bike policy. It’s the principle, Mr. Mayor. Nothing personal.

And now… time for the show…


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